2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predictions: What to Know

Key Stats

* 20 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes in 2023 * NOAA predicts above normal activity with 12-17 named storms, 5-9 hurricanes, and 1-4 major hurricanes * Outlook reflects competing or non-reinforcing patterns

Understanding the Outlook

NOAA's seasonal hurricane outlook provides insights into the expected activity for the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30. The 2023 outlook predicts an above normal level of activity, with a higher likelihood of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes. This forecast is based on several factors, including: *

El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Patterns

ENSO is a climate pattern that influences hurricane formation. According to NOAA, competing or non-reinforcing ENSO patterns are expected during the 2023 season. These patterns can favor hurricane development. *

Sea Surface Temperatures

Warmer sea surface temperatures provide energy for hurricanes. NOAA anticipates above-average sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic during the 2023 season, which could support hurricane formation. *

Vertical Wind Shear

Vertical wind shear can disrupt hurricane development by tearing apart clouds. NOAA predicts variable wind shear patterns during the 2023 season, which could allow some hurricanes to intensify.

Preparing for the Season

As the hurricane season approaches, it's crucial to take steps to prepare. Consider the following actions: *

Stay Informed

Monitor NOAA's forecasts and advisories to stay updated on hurricane activity. *

Develop an Evacuation Plan

Create a plan for evacuating your home in case of a hurricane warning. Identify evacuation routes and find a safe shelter location. *

Secure Your Property

Take measures to secure your home from high winds and flooding, such as trimming trees, cleaning gutters, and installing hurricane shutters. *

Stock Up on Supplies

Gather essential supplies, including non-perishable food, water, batteries, first-aid kits, and medications. *

Follow Official Instructions

Pay attention to official instructions from local authorities and emergency responders during the hurricane season. Follow evacuation orders if necessary and stay indoors during hurricane warnings.

Additional Resources

* NOAA Hurricane Center: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ * National Hurricane Center on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/NHC.NOAA * National Hurricane Center on Twitter: https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic